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Answer: 62% of the time for large caps, 71% of the time for mid caps, and 90% of the time for small caps, according to this 25-year study. Here are some charts that show the ebb and flow of value over a number of different rolling-return periods.
Contrary to the usual disclaimers, past performance and other common statistics can help you find tomorrow's winners.
New research from Ibbotson indicates that by using returns-based style analysis, you can more accurately predict a fund's future success. Mutual funds that outperformed their benchmarks by the widest margins also outperformed their benchmarks in the following year 64% of the time.
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