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New weekly data from the Fed show giant growth in Fed credit—on par with 9/11 and Y2k. There is no conclusion but to expect the value of financial assets to gain before the economy does; there are inflation risks if kept up for too long.
Slower growth is likely already discounted in the market now, while inflation has likely not been discounted.
The data portends increased joblessness, confirming with other economic data the notion of a fourth-quarter contraction.
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